Monday, September 10, 2007

After all, it's science

Hurricane Scientists Flubbed Forecasts for Two Years (Update1)

By Kelly Riddell and Elizabeth Lopatto

Sept. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Hurricane researchers, who forecast seven more storms this season, have flubbed the past two annual estimates because of unusual El Nino and La Nina weather phenomena in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans.

"The predictions reflect variables that make this kind of weather forecasting ``more art than science,'' said Eric Blake, a hurricane specialist at the National Hurricane Center in Miami."

``We base our forecasts on history,'' said Klotzbach in a telephone interview. ``We make the assumption that the future is going to behave similarly to the past, and that didn't happen last year."

It kinda makes you wonder what else are they "assuming"

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